UA-33754892-1 Archives for 28 March 2010 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Shell Houston Open

Not even close last week. A loss of 9 pts makes the seasons running total - 13.5pts. Sam Osborne plays in India this week and is a big price at 250/1... might be worth a small each way interest as he is playing nicely and needs a fast start to his Asian Tour campaign. I am going to leave it alone and use it as a guide to potential value the following week on a course that may suit better. There is no European Tour event this week as they postponed the Portuguese Open due to poor weather which meant the course was not ready.

So we are left with the Shell Houston Open, the final warm up event for next weeks Masters. Els is on fire at the moment and his price reflects that. He is best price 12/1. The way he slipped on the back 9 last week and the inevitable fatigue makes him difficult to back at this price. Mickelson starts 3rd favourite at a tempting 14/1. He played nicely last week before a horrible weekend and again I don't think he is worth the risk. Casey is a former winner and is in great form but the bookies are aware of this and price him up at a measly 12/1. Fred Couples is another interesting contender. He has won his last 3 events on the Champions Tour but in a field of this quality 40/1 seems short.

Hunter Mahan, already a winner at the Phoenix Open this year has a great record at Redstone. He has 3 top 15 finishes in 4 starts including tied 11th here last year. He is a machine when he gets going and this course does offer up birdies. It is fairly long and he lead greens in regulation here last year. Hunter thrives on bermuda grass greens which they will be putting on this week. Hunter gets the nod at 28/1.

Matt Kuchar has only played Redstone once, missing the cut in '07 but he is a different player now. He boasts 3 top 3's this year, leads the scoring average and par 4 performance. The combination of 29th in greens with 6th in putting should make him a serious player here. Grab the 50/1.

Hunter Mahan - 1pt each way - 28/1
Matt Kuchar - 2pts each way - 50/1