UA-33754892-1 Archives for 22 July 2012 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

RBC Canadian Open and Lyoness Open

Justin Rose did not handle the situation as well as one had anticipated last week and missed the cut. John Senden did make the cut but never figured. Jason Dufner looked threatening heading into the weekend after a second round 66 but fizzled out. Our best chance was Zach Johnson, the 80/1 form player. He was in a good spot going into Sunday and had played some stunning golf throughout. He also played some good stuff on Sunday but the errors were too many and he missed out on the places.

Scott should have won but lost by one, bogeying the last four holes. That left me with a sick, hollow feeling. I think every golfer has experienced and can relate to the feeling Scott must have been left with, but only to a tiny fraction on a relative scale. Ernie Els did get across the line without really realising it. He only missed 15 greens on the week and lagged nearly every putt, apart from the one on 18! In my preview I said, “I looked at
Ernie Els as his Open record is phenomenal, especially at Lytham where he has finished 2nd in ’96 and 3rd in ’01. Overall he has played 21 and posted no fewer than 12 top 10’s. He also has 5 top 10’s in his last 11 starts. But he is 45/1 and he looked poor last week, his stats are not up to much and he struggles to get over the line.” I guess it is easier to get over the line when you don’t realise you are doing it!

This week looks seriously uninspiring. The Austrian event, that started today, has a weak field meaning guys in with a chance have compressed prices. You could have a guess at a couple of big prices on guys that will be desperate to take advantage of an opportunity but all in the course is not great, the field is weak and I have no real opinions so I am going to give this one a miss.

It is a similar story in Canada. Kuchar, Mahan and Van Pelt all have big claims in my view. It is a ball strikers course and you need to be able to work it both ways. Furyk also does well on short courses, and Hamilton Golf and Country Club checks in at 6985 yards. But 12/1 Kuchar, 14/1 Mahan, 16/1 Furyk and 30/1 Van Pelt is far from inspiring. Seung-Yul Noh also is in good form, 45/1 is too tight.

With another run of quality events coming up I don’t see any point investing this week just for the sake of it. I am going to sit out and watch.

Lyoness Open

No Bet

RBC Canadian Open

No Bet

2012 running total +146.23 points. This weeks investment 0 points

2011 total +370.78 points
2010 total +189.33 points

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My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.
Twitter: @jasonkellygolf