UA-33754892-1 Archives for 14 November 2010 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Hong Kong Open and the Dunlop Phoenix.

Last week was a strange week for my selections. In Singapore things looked positive after round 1. Aphibarnrat opened with 65 and Griffiths with 69. Nice scores for a 250/1 chance and a 1000/1 shot. However that was as good as it got as both players had disappointing second rounds and both ended up missing the cut. Similar story with Brendon De Jonge. A second round 65 put him right in the mix but the 40/1 chance did not fire over the weekend and finished inside the top 20 but not in the places. Australia saved the day. Woods is so hard to forecast these days and one week he will win at what will appear to be a generous price and he looks like he is getting closer and closer. A closing 65 left him in 4th place but that still meant a 4 point loss. Daniel Gaunt saved the day. The Aussie won a Challenge Tour event earlier this year at 50/1. He was 66/1 in a much bigger event here but continued his unbelievable year. He beat Garcia, his playing partner, by 9 in the third round and looked like the most likely winner on Sunday. An unfortunate double bogey on the par 3 16th, where his tee shot landed 2 feet from the hole, was the only thing that stopped him from winning. Still, a third place finish made us a 24.75 point profit on the bet and a 11.25 point profit on the week. This takes the yearly total to +212.33 points or £2123.30 to a £10 stake.

This week looks very hard. In Hong Kong the form and fancied players are all priced accordingly. I like McDowell and Jimenez but at 17/2 and 14/1 I can't be backing them. A good opportunity to pick a big price outsider but none really stand out. The only player who seems to represent a bit of value and in decent form is Soren Kjelsden. The course sets up well for him and he is a good enough putter to keep up with the low scoring. He has some course form and a small each way bet is advised at 33/1.

Dunlop Phoenix event is another tricky betting heat. Robert Karlsson is the well supported 9/1 favourite. Ishiikawa, Allenby and Eduardo Molanari are the next three in the betting but no bigger than 12/1. Allenby and Molanari are the two that stand out to me. However, Allenby did not do enough round his home track last week for me to back him at 10/1 and defending champion Molinari has not played well since the Ryder Cup. I am going to swerve this event.

Hong Kong Open

1.5 points each way Soren Kjelsden @ 33/1

(running total +212.33 points, this weeks investment 3 points)