UA-33754892-1 Archives for 13 March 2011 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Transitions Championship

I short listed Nick Watney last week. He was very impressive. Do I regret not backing him? Yes, but he was hard to back at 20/1 in a world class field. My tip Ben Crane was a non runner at Doral after suffering a rib injury. In Peurto Rico Joe Ogilvie had a solid but unspectacular week. We lost four more points to take us down to a 87.5 point running profit for 2011.

This week I am not going to bother with the Sicilian Open. A weak field on a new course with some poor weather forecast. I will leave that alone. However if you see an opportunity to oppose Nick Dougherty during the week I would not put you off doing so. He has struggled this season and looked in very poor form on the practice ground the other day.

So the Transitions Championship in the States. The forecast weather is perfect the whole week. The Copperhead Course appears to suit older, experienced players and boasts 5 par 3’s in its par of 71. More importantly it ranked 2nd in total birdies and 2nd in birdies on par 4’s in 2010. That places a premium on greens in reg and bogey avoidance, again characteristics that suit the veterans.

However I can’t find a veteran in good form at a decent price. Ames and Singh are perhaps the two that stand out but I can’t have any real confidence in recommending them. Watney is the obvious choice, but again the price is off putting. 12/1 is too short.

I like Bill Haas. He is 40/1. He finished T16 here last year when he was 9th in greens in regulation, 4th in putting and 13th in birdies. He is currently 4th in greens in regulation on tour in 2011, 13th in birdie average, second in all round ranking and 4th in bogey avoidance. He ticks all the boxes apart from being a bit too young!

My other two picks are Chris Couch and Gary Woodland. Both 100/1 shots. Couch has 4 tops 25’s in 4 starts, 2 top 10’s. Woodland has 3 top 10’s in 6 starts including a T2 at the Bob Hope. Another event where you have to make a lot of birdies. They both represent great value.

Transitions Championship

1.5 pts each way Bill Haas @ 40/1
1pt each way Chris Couch @ 100/1
1pt each way Gary Woodland @ 100/1

2011 running total +87.5pts This weeks investment 7pts

My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.

2010 record +189.33 points.

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