UA-33754892-1 Archives for 11 March 2012 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Open De Andalucia and Transitions Championship

Well, it was close to a big week. Bubba looked to be on track for a cosy win but a sloppy front side on Sunday and a lagged putt for a playoff on 18 cost us. We did get an each way return but when you have been counting your winnings for three days a place return does not feel like adequate compensation. We won 15.5 points on Bubba but lost 8 points on the injured Woods and disappointing Ben Crane. Our 2012 p&l total stands at -38.87.

This week the European Tour visits sunny Spain. Aloha Golf Club is the host venue and is a funky, short course with slopey greens. It looks fairly tight but is under 7000 yards. The greens are the only real protection. An experienced, patient, straight hitting, confident putter should go well here. I like Jimenez, Manassero and Wattel.

Jimenez is an ok price at 28/1 but his putting worries me. These greens have some big, big breaks and you have to be confident to keep making putts which start outside the hole and I am not sure he looks that good with a belly putter. Manassero has found a course that should really suit him but to back a player at 25/1 who is not bang in form does no seem like a good idea. A similar story with Wattel 50/1. Does well on short courses but has not really been up to much this season so far. I think I am going to leave this alone and concentrate of the States.

I like the look of the Transitions Championship at Copperhead. I got the winner here last year at 100/1, Gary Woodland. Strangely it was not really his famous long hitting that won it for him but exceptional putting. This is a theme at Copperhead. Last year the field averaged just 277.6 yards from the tee. The course is 7340 yards so long hitting is by no means a handicap.

I am very keen on Bo Van Pelt this week. He has three consecutive top 8 finishes in stroke play events including at last weeks WGC where he lead the putting stats. He is 14th on tour in putting and has finished in the top 10 here twice in 8 starts. 40/1 seems very generous and is worth getting stuck into.

John Senden has great course form. He has finished 2nd here twice in ’08 and ’09. He was ranked 9th in greens and 4th in putting last week at the Blue Monster on route to a tied 6th finish, his third top ten of the year. He is also 40/1 and has to be worth a go.

John Huh is well worth a saver. He is straight from the tee (ranked 11th) and 6th in scoring. Things will have calmed down for him a bit now after his win a few weeks ago and he can get back to work this week. 80/1 is a fair price.

Transitions Championship.

3 pts each way Bo Van Pelt @ 40/1
2 pts each way John Senden @ 40/1
0.5 pts each way John Huh @ 80/1

2012 running total -38.87 points. This weeks investment 11 points
(Already Advised - 6 pts Tiger Woods @ 13/2 US Masters)

2011 total +370.78 points
2010 total +189.33 points

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My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.