UA-33754892-1 Archives for 29 October 2017 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Shriners Open and Turkish Airlines Open

Last week our players generally outperformed their prices but there was no reward to us.

I like the picks this week as I think a couple of the shorter priced runners are undervalued.

In Europe Henerik Stenson is a cracking bet at 8/1. It looks short but there are only 77 players and a handful of those are pretty much non runners. I would have him at 5/1. He set super impressive numbers a few weeks ago at the Wyndham Champs, he played well last week in China (finished 2nd) and I expect him to go very well here again.

From a value perspective Jordan L Smith looks undervalued. I have him at 25/1 but he is as big as 100/1. Anything at 66/1 or bigger is a good bet. He has had a few quiet weeks but they have been far from bad, in fact his performances have been above average, but he has not made headlines.

In the States the PGA Tour is in Vegas. My best bet is Patrick Cantlay. Since his return to the Tour he is 14 out of 14 cuts made and half of those have gone for top 15s. He finished 15th last week in his first World Golf Championship event. I make him 10/1 favourite if unaffected by jet lag. You can back him at 20/1.

The huge value lies with last week’s 4th place finisher at the Sanderson Farms. Scott Strohmeyer is a 200/1 pop, I have him at 25/1 in this weak line up.

Good luck,


Shriners Open - Outright

5 points win Patrick Cantlay @ 20/1 (+100)
0.5 points each way Scott Strohmeyer @ 200/1 (-1)

Turkish Airlines Open - Outright

12.5 points win Henrik Stenson @ 8/1 (-12.5)
1 point each way Jordan L Smith @ 100/1 (-2)


1 point each way double Patrick Cantlay @ 20/1 and Henrik Stenson @ 8/1 (-2)

This week's P&L = +82.5
This week’s investment = 22.5 points

This week's Outright P&L =
+84.5 points
This weeks's Outright Investment = 20.5 points

This week's matches/specials/in running P&L = -2 points
This week's matches/specials/in running Investment = 2 points

2017 Total P&L = +98.07
2017 Total Investment =  1404.44 points

2017 Outright Bets P&L =  +37.78
2017 Outright Bets Investment = 685.74 points

2017 matches/specials/in running P&L =  +60.29
2017 matches/specials/in running investment = 797.9 points

2016 total +3.88 points
2015 total -116.28 points
2014 total -103.98 points
2013 total - 24.22 points
2012 total +150.36 points
2011 total +370.78 points
2010 total +189.33 points
6 Year Total +469.87 points

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My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A '1 point' bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then '1 point' signifies £10.