UA-33754892-1 Archives for 27 November 2011 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Chevron World Challenge, Nedbank Challenge and Hong Kong Open

Have to be quick with the preview this week as 2nd stage of Tour School looms and I still have a lot of preparation to do!

Last week was a good week.  USA won the World Cup of Golf @ 9/1 earning us 18 points, Scotland finished in a big tie for 4th.  The tie meant we only broke level on the bet.  They were having a big week before shooting the highest score of the day in the 3rd round fourballs.  Thomas Aiken got a place in South africa winning us another 10.875 points. We won 22.875 points on the week getting us back up to 313.92 points in front for the year or £3139.20 to a £10 stake.

This week there is a full field event in Europe/Asia and two limited fields elsewhere.  Let's look at Hong Kong first.  It's a short course, 6700 yards and rewards accuracy but you also. Have to cope with fairly grainy greens.  Two of the straightest players I know are in the field, Kjelsden and Sidduker. Both prices look big at 80/1 and 125/1.  Jimenez is tempting at 30/1 but after a hectic schedule I will leave him out despite his great record here on a course that sets up well for him.

Tiger is way too short for me in the Chevron Challenge.  3/1 to win his own event that he barely qualified for.  That price is way to short in this quality line up but it is rather hard to separate the rest.  I like about 12 of the 18 players and to separate them at win only type prices is too difficult.  33/1 is the biggest price.  Too hard for me.  No bet.

Sun City is an interesting event.  Another high quality field.  Westwood is 7/2 favourite and with the Gary Player course being ultimately a long game test this seems right.  However you often wonder wether he will putt well enough to win.  I can also make decent cases for Donald 9/2, Kaymer 11/2 and Schwartzel 7/1.  Dyson is one at a bigger price to consider.  20/1 looks fairly big in a 12 runner race.  I think Dyson will be warmed up and acclimatised after the SA Open last week and worth an each way interest.  I am going to stick with the Masters Champ over Westwood as he will enjoy being back in SA and is maybe a little more trustworthy than Westwood in Sun Cities wonderful facilities!

Nedbank Challenge

3 pts Charl Schwartzel @ 7/1
1.5 points each way Simon Dyson @ 20/1

Hong Kong Open

1 pt each way Soren Kjelsden @ 80/1
1 pt each way Sidduker @ 125/1