UA-33754892-1 Archives for 27 May 2018 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

The Memorial and Italian Open

Italian Open (In Running after round 3)

3.81 points Francesco Molinari @ 3.65 (-3.81)


The Memorial (In running after round 2)

To Win

9.56 points Dustin Johnson @ 15 (-9.56)

Italian Open (In Running after round 2)

7.45 points Martin Kaymer @ 11 (-7.45)

Italian Open (In running after round 1)

To Win

13.63 points Richard Sterne @ 29 (-13.63)

The Memorial (In running after round 1)

To Win

10.38 points Dustin Johnson @ 40 (-10.38)



The Memorial



To Win


6.26 points Dustin Johnson @ 15.5 (-6.26)


Top 5


7.43 points Henrick Stenson @ 7 (-7.43)


Top 10


10.93 points Pat Perez @ 13 (-10.93)


Top 20


17.53 points Pat Perez @ 5.7 (-17.53)

First Round Leader

no bet


72 Hole Matches (Sky Bet - tie no bet)


36.56 points Matsuyama to beat Watson @ 1.83 (+30.34)



Italian Open


To Win


2.74 points Tommy Fleetwood @ 12.5 (-2.74)

Top 5


12.45 points Tyrrell Hatton @ 9.2 (-12.45)

Top 10


12.13 points Jinho Choi @ 26 (-12.13)


Top 20


22.78 points Jinho Choi @ 11 (-22.78)


First Round Leader

no bets

72 Hole Matches (Sky Bet - tie no bet)

52.66 points Levy to beat Bjerregaard @ 1.83 (+43.71)
39.78 points Hatton to beat Sullivan @ 1.83 (-39.78)

Specials

5.00 point each way Double Dustin Johnson @ 13 and Tommy Fleetwood @ 13 (-10)








2018 Bankroll (Based on an initial balance 1000 points) = 501.68 points


This week's P&L = -113.51
This week’s investment = 231.95 points


This week's Outright P&L = -92.95
This weeks's Outright Investment = 92.95 points


This week's matches/specials/in running P&L = -20.56
This week's matches/specials/in running Investment = 139 points



2018 Total P&L = -581.83

2018 Total Investment = 13967.65 points

2018 Outright Bets P&L = +126.45
2018 Outright Bets Investment = 6356.39 points

2018 matches/specials/in running P&L =  -738.28
2018 matches/specials/in running investment = 7775.94 points


2017 total -37.24 points
2016 total +3.88 points
2015 total -116.28 points
2014 total -103.98 points
2013 total - 24.22 points
2012 total +150.36 points
2011 total +370.78 points

2010 total +189.33 points
8 Year Total +432.63 points

To get the tips first and receive exclusive in running advice - send an email to jason@jasonkellygolf.com with the subject ‘register'

Staking System

2018 onwards - The updated staking plan incorporates a simple formula that calculates the proportion of your balance to wager on a particular gamble. The calculation determines a recommended stake based on prevailing odds and an estimated probability that the selection will win.

The strength of bet is still advised in points. These points are representative to your chosen bankroll. The ratio used in my advice is to an initial bank of 1000 points. So if this bank is £100, £1000 or £10000 is up to you. But 1 point to a bank of £100 will be £0.10, to £1000 £1, to £10,000 £10. In this respect it is the same as the old system. 


Back testing carried out on the previous 7 years selections has shown much larger profits on winning years and only a marginally higher loss in losing years. It will carry slightly higher volatility overall, but the testing has shown it to be a much better, more profitable and frankly more enjoyable system. 


Pre 2018 - The advice came with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A '1 point' bet meant placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then '1 point' signifies £10.

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