UA-33754892-1 Archives for 26 November 2017 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Hero World Challenge, Australian PGA and AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open

I am still in The States, Palm Springs this week. Therefore I will keep it short.


In the Hero World Challenge Dustin Johnson is still my pick. Rose looks fair value and this is his adopted home course, but he must be knackered after a few very long weeks. Woods’ price is jumbled as lack of events and nobody really knows where his game is at, despite the hype.

Player
Books
Betfair
My Odds
Diff
Dustin Johnson
7
7.46
5.5
-21%
Jordan Spieth
7
7.08
6.2
-11%
Justin Rose
11
11.4
8.4
-23%
Rickie Fowler
10
10
9.1
-9%
Hideki Matsuyama
13
14.8
9.6
-26%
Brooks Koepka
12
12.4
11
-11%
Justin Thomas
6.5
6.89
12
81%
Kevin Chappell
34
42
32
-7%
Henrik Stenson
15
23
13
-14%
Matt Kuchar
21
29
21
-2%
Francesco Molinari
29
40
21
-28%
Tommy Fleetwood
26
30
26
-1%
Kevin Kisner
29
32
28
-5%
Patrick Reed
19
24
29
51%
Alex Noren
31
34
34
10%
Charley Hoffman
34
36
31
-8%
Daniel Berger
19
28
51
168%
Tiger Woods
41
42
74251
181000%


In Mauritius I will be backing Matt Wallace, Gavin Green and Jazz Janewattanond. This is a big, wide golf course that suits the bombers. The greens are often elevated and narrow, even on the longer par 4s, so shorter clubs in are a big advantage. The greens have a lot of grain and the two Asian players (Green and Jazz) should love this.



Player
Odds
bf
My Odds
Diff
Louis Oosthuizen
7.5
7.53
8
11%
Dylan Frittelli
17
17.8
31
85%
Dean Burmester
23
24
47
105%
George Coetzee
21
25
35
67%
Nicolas Colsaerts
23
27
39
71%
Alexander Bjork
23
29
65
182%
Haydn Porteous
26

96
271%
Jamie Donaldson
34
35
129
279%
Matthieu Pavon
34
37
82
140%
Clement Sordet
34
35
42
24%
Paul Peterson
34
37
95
179%
Scott Hend
41
46
38
-8%
Matt Wallace
41
55
29
-30%
Darren Fichardt
41
65
100
145%
Gavin Green
51
51
23
-54%
Wu Ashun
51
65
252
394%
James Morrison
51
55
180
254%
Micah Shin
51

84
65%
Aaron Rai
51
70
51
-1%
Marcus Kinhult
51
80
38
-26%
Jazz Janewattananond
67
70
31
-53%


Garcia is a very fair bet in Australia. Playing well and the class in the field.

Player
Odds
bf
My Odds
Diff
Sergio Garcia
8
8.41
5.5
-31%
Marc Leishman
8
8.22
7.0
-12%
Adam Scott
9
9.36
8.1
-11%
Cameron Smith
10
10.5
28
181%
Ryan Fox
61
25
30
-50%
Michael Hendry
46
46
36
-23%
Harold Varner III
26
30
50
91%



Hero World Challenge - Outright

10 points Dustin Johnson @ 13/2 (-10)


Australian PGA - Outright

10 points Sergio Garcia @ 15/2 (-10)


AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open - Outright

2 points each way Matt Wallace @ 50/1 (NR)
1.25 points each way Jazz Janewattanond @ 80/1 (-2.5)
1.81 points each way Gavin Green @ 55/1 (-3.62)

Specials

1 point each way double Dustin Johnson @ 13/2 and Sergio Garcia @ 15/2 (-2)





This week's P&L = -28.12
This week’s investment = 32.12 points

This week's Outright P&L = -26.12
This weeks's Outright Investment = 30.12 points

This week's matches/specials/in running P&L = -2
This week's matches/specials/in running Investment = 2 points



2017 Total P&L = -24.31
2017 Total Investment =  1562.32 points

2017 Outright Bets P&L =  -70.6
2017 Outright Bets Investment = 798.12 points

2017 matches/specials/in running P&L =  +46.29
2017 matches/specials/in running investment = 843.3 points


2016 total +3.88 points
2015 total -116.28 points
2014 total -103.98 points
2013 total - 24.22 points
2012 total +150.36 points
2011 total +370.78 points
2010 total +189.33 points
6 Year Total +469.87 points

To get the tips first and receive exclusive in running advice - send an email to
jason@jasonkellygolf.com with the subject ‘register'

My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A '1 point' bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then '1 point' signifies £10.











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