UA-33754892-1 Archives for 26 June 2011 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Open De France and AT&T National

Depressing depressing depressing......thats been the general feel of the last few weeks. Again the tips are going well with no reward. Simpson and Toms finished T13th and Couch played nice but slipped up on Sunday again. Dixon had a good day 1 in the worst of the conditions before a horror of a round 2 to miss the cut. Romain Wattel shot -4 before getting disqualified for using an incorrect procedure when taking a preferred lie. Dustin Johnson seemed happy enough with his payday for showing up and completed his four rounds before jetting off to spend the money!

So this week. AT&T National at the brutal Aronimink Golf Club. It is going to be a week of hanging in there and not making mistakes. Players I like - Webb Simpson, Bill Haas, Bo Van Pelt, Nick Watney and Chris Couch. Now this is where my dilemma starts. My players play well and their price shorten as a result, obviously. When there is a lack of any real quality in the field this is magnified. Simpson 28/1 is still probably a fair price. He is in great form with 3 top 15’s in a row. He was second in birdies last week and lead the putting stats. He is well suited to tough courses and has to get the nod again. I do not know how Van Pelt is shorter than Simpson so he has to be passed over. Bill Haas again is way too short considering his recent form, 33/1 is not a good price. That leaves Watney, 14/1. This is a price he seems to start every week and with less depth in the field he gets the green light. He finished 7th here last year and tied with Simpson in 13th last week. He looks to have a big chance here. I am going to stick with Chris Couch too. Still a tidy price and plays well in runs of events. 100/1 is too good to pass up.

In France there is a very disappointing line up. It is one of the biggest prize funds in Europe and still nobody has shown up.....I guess that is what happens when it is not a Ryder Cup year. Plus a lot of players do not like the course. It is open from the tee and on a lot of holes driver is taken out of your hands by fairways finishing prematurely. Hence the recent spout of surprise winners.

I like Jimenez, Aitken, Jamieson, Noh, Gallacher, Duboison and Eduardo Molinari. Jimenez is a past winner and looks a fair price at 45/1, especially compared to an ultra stingy 14/1 for Peter Hanson. However Jimenez has not shown enough recently to warrant my support. MC in a US Open that appeared to be set up perfectly for him is off putting. Aitken is a class act and on his day can shoot lights out around any course. 50/1 is generous but I hate the fact his length will not be rewarded here and the other thing that makes him a pass is his bottle. 50/1 gives him each way value but I am always scared of him throwing up on Sundays. I see Eduardo Molinari in much the same light, big chance, course suits, nice price but form in doubt.

Jamieson goes in here with a good chance. His form is good, his game sets up well. 80/1 is a good price but he will be aware of what a big week this is for him. If others were not better value he would have got in the staking plan. Seung-Yul Noh is a bigger price than Jamieson, Jimenez, Aitken and over six times the price of Peter Hanson. He is better than all of them and has good recent form on a tough track at Congresional. Take the 90/1 about one of the best young players in the world. Another who fits the ‘great player’ tag is Victor Duboison. So much ability and worth a punt at 125/1. My final pick is an experienced campaigner, Stephen Gallacher. He can go well at a very generous 150/1.

All prices with Geoff Banks Bookmakers - For the best service and prices bet with Geoff Banks - www.geoff-banks.com

AT&T National

2pts win Nick Watney @ 14/1
1.5pts each way Webb Simpson @ 28/1
0.5pts each way Chris Couch @ 100/1


Open de France

1.5 pts each way Seung-Yul Noh @ 90/1
1pt each way Victor Duboison @ 125/1
0.5pts each way Stephen Gallacher @ 150/1




2011 running total +115.8 pts This weeks investment 12 pts


My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.


Comments