UA-33754892-1 Archives for 25 November 2018 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Mauritius Open and Hero World Challenge

Hero World Challenge - In running after round 3

To Win


0.25 points Patrick Reed @ 101 (-0.25)




Mauritius Open - In Running after round 3

To Win


1 point Justin Harding @ 2.62 (-1)



Hero World Challenge - In running after round 2

To Win


0.5 points Patrick Cantlay @ 7.5 (-0.5)



Hero World Challenge - In running after round 1

To Win


0.25 points Dustin Johnson @ 6.5 (-0.25)
0.5 points Patrick Cantlay @ 5 (-0.25)



Mauritius Open - In Running after round 1

To Win


0.25 points Kurt Kitiyama @ 21 (+5.25)
0.25 points Justin Harding @ 23 (-0.25)
0.25 points Oliver Bekker @ 61 (-0.25)
0.25 points Alex Handl @ 67 (-0.25)



Mauritius Open - Update

The Spaniard, Adria Arnaus, fits the profile of a player who should go well at the Four Seasons Anahita in the Mauritius Masters. He hits it miles, hits it high and does not fear winning.


He opened 125/1 and there's been some support into 100/1.

He's won 3 times in the last two years at a strike rate of almost 10%. He won the Grand Final on the Challenge Tour at the start of the month, a line up not much weaker than this.

He can have a big week. He should be 33-40/1.

To Win

1 points Adri Arnaus @ 101 (-1)


Mauritius Open

Four Seasons Golf Club at Anahita is designed by Ernie Els, but unlike most the Els courses this is actually a very good lay out. I have played two events there and my two feelings are being a long hitter is a big advantage as many of the greens are elevated and take some stopping if you're going in with a long iron and being able to deal with the wind is key, if it does indeed blow. It doesn't always, but it did when the Tour was here in 2016 when -6 won and only two players finished under par.

It is a very weak field with the European Tour trying to fill their spots and Asia co-hosting three events around the world this week. Therefore it looks worth siding with some value outsiders to take an opportunity and spring a surprise.

To Win

0.25 points Jack Singh Brar @ 81 (-0.25)
0.25 points Daniel Van Tonder @ 91 (-0.25)
0.25 points Pedro Figuieredo @ 201 (-0.25)
0.25 points Karandeep Kochhar @ 351 (-0.25)



72 Hole Matches (Sky Bet - tie no bet)

0.5 points J.B. Hansen to beat Koivu @ 1.83 (+0.42)
1.5 points Louis De Jager to beat Porteous @ 1.91 (-1.5)



Hero World Challenge

Normally you have players coming into this in what appears to be unbeatable form. Jordan when he won at Isleworth, Hideki here a few years ago. This year there is no one player to beat. Albany, another Els design, well Letsche on behalf of Els, is a low scoring course. The average winning score here is -20 so you have to get it rolling early and take advantage of the par 5s. There's little wind forecast so expect the scoring to go deep once again.

If he is back in a good place off the course, Dustin could be the man this week. If he clicks he finds making birdies easier than anyone. I would be 11/2 Dustin, plenty of 8/1 available and 9/1 on Betfair.



To Win

0.5 points Dustin Johnson @ 9 (-0.5)


72 Hole Matches (Sky Bet - tie no bet)

0.5 points Rickie Fowler to beat Dechambeau @ 1.83 (+0.42)
0.5 points Justin Rose to beat Tiger Woods @ 1.73 (+0.37)





This week's P&L = -0.54
This week’s investment = 4.5 points


This week's Outright P&L = -0.25 points
This weeks's Outright Investment = 8.25 points


This week's matches/specials/in running P&L = -0.29
This week's matches/specials/in running Investment = 3 points



2018 Total P&L =  -87.83 points

2018 Total Investment = 1901.87 points

2018 Outright Bets P&L = 
-17.22 points
2018 Outright Bets Investment = 906.29 points

2018 matches/specials/in running P&L =  -70.91 points
2018 matches/specials/in running investment = 1006.72 points


2017 total -37.24 points
2016 total +3.88 points
2015 total -116.28 points
2014 total -103.98 points
2013 total - 24.22 points
2012 total +150.36 points
2011 total +370.78 points

2010 total +189.33 points
8 Year Total +432.63 points

To get the tips first and receive exclusive in running advice - send an email to 
jason@jasonkellygolf.com with the subject ‘register'

I rate my picks as 0.25 to 2.5 units and I recommend you risk the following:

  • 0.25 units - 0.25% of bankroll
  • 0.5 units - 0.5% of bankroll
  • 0.75 units - 0.75% of bankroll
  • 1 unit - 1% of bankroll
  • 1.5 units - 1.5% of bankroll
  • 2 units - 2% of bankroll
  • 2.5 units - 2.5% of bankroll

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