UA-33754892-1 Archives for 24 October 2010 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

CIMB Asia Pacific Classic and Andalucia Valderrama Masters

My last selections came at the Tour Championship and was a drastically poor tipping performance. We did not even sniff a return on any selected player. A loss of 11pts ate into our running profit of 1723.08pts leaving us showing a profit of 162.08pts for the season.

This week there is a limited field event in Malaysia. I am not a massive fan of limited field events especially when the best players are taken out of their comfort zone traveling to places like Malaysia. On my short list this week are Robert Allenby, Ben Crane, Seung Yol Noh, Kiradech Aphibarnat and Arjun Atwal.

Robert Allenby is a well travelled golfer. However, I have put him forward a few times and he always finds a way to disappoint. He is coming off a long break and is too short at 20/1. The short course appears to be a short game test and this could suit Ben Crane. He is a nice price at 40/1 but not sure if he will travel well to a new environment and course conditions for him. Tempting.

Seung Yol Noh is class. At 19 he leads the Asian money list, scoring average and birdie average. He has 4 top 10's in his last 5 events and his best 2 finishes of the year were in Malaysia. I have put him forward at some nice prices this year and I am not sure 25/1 is a nice price, however it could look big on Sunday, but is he ready to step it up to a new level?

Arjun Atwal won in the States earlier this year and has a great record in Malaysia including a win at this course. He is a great putter and 40/1 is a fair price.

I know nothing about Kiradech Aphibarnat apart from my Asian Tour friend Simon Griffiths says he is an awesome player who is too big at 125/1.

I can't make the stakes big here, more an interest play. A small field with players like Els, Fowler, Donald, Choi, Goosen at the head of the market makes it tough to find value and any one of those could run away with this.

Asia Pacific Classic
0.5pts each way Kiradech Aphibarnat @ 125/1 1/4 1-2-3-4
1pt each way Ben Crane @ 40/1 1/4 1-2-3-4
2 pt win Seung Yol Noh @ 25/1

Valderrama is a funky course which at this time of year can have some funky weather. Not a good combination when trying to forecast a winner! I like the two Mollanari's, Jimenez, Fisher and Mcdowell. Surely another win for Kaymer is too much to ask, especially when the world number 1 is up for grabs for a 1st or 2nd place finish. I can't be backing someone at 6/1 with all that going on. At bigger prices Canizares and Pablo Martin look big at 55/1 and 125/1 respectively.

Mcdowell is too short for me at 14/1 and the same goes for Francesco Mollanari. Francesco was awesome in Portugal with 2 rounds of 62 in one week and therefore I can see why he is 16/1 but he should be the same price as his brother. Edoardo at 25/1 is much more appealing. He has complained of feeling tired after the Ryder Cup and this showed in two poor performances in Scotland and Portugal. He has serious drive and ability and this week can help him on his way to his season goal of entering the top 10 in the world. He is a bet this week.

Canizares is too much of a fiddler for me and Pablo Martin could be 82 or 62, i can't back him.

Fisher can drive his ball, but is the course just too tricky for him? I think Wobbly can guide him around here and the 20/1 has some appeal.

Jimenez is a machine and will enjoy this week. 25/1 is a fair price.

Andalucia Masters.
2 pts each way Eduardo Mollanari @ 25/1 1/4 1-2-3-4-5
1.5pts each way Miguel Angel Jimenez @ 25/1 1/4 1-2-3-4-5
1 pt win Ross Fisher @ 20/1

(running total +162.08pts..... this weeks investment 13pts)