UA-33754892-1 Archives for 22 August 2010 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

The Barclays

After two rounds of the USPGA we looked golden, my most popular pick of the year and 55/1 shot Matt Kuchar was leading to 400/1 chance Seung-Yul Noh. Peter Hanson was second out of the Europeans. They all fell away a little over the weekend, Kuchar recording his 9th top ten of the year, Noh finishing T15 and Hanson and our other selection, Steve Stricker in mid-field. Not a bad tipping week, but like Charlie found out, chocolate is nice but you still want the golden ticket!!

So that leads on nicely to this weeks event, The Barclays. The Barclays is the 1st of the Fedex Playoff weeks featuring the top 125 from the US Tour. It is to be played at the Tillinghurst designed Ridgewood course, which hosts the event for the second time. In 2008 Vijay Singh won here. At 7300 yards and a par of 71 this is very much a ball strikers golf course but accuracy off the tee is not really at a premium. From the evidence of '08 holing out from 10ft in is of a premium, as always.

I have to stick with Matt Kuchar. The golf he has played this year deserves a win, every week he gives us a good run for our money. He has 9 top 10's, including a T9 at Firestone and T10 at Whistling Straits. In the stats he leads scrambling, bogey avoidance, par 4 performance and the All Round Ranking. 10th in greens, 23rd in putting and second in adjusted scoring. These stats and his form suggest that he is a good price at 40/1.

Others I like are Bubba Watson, a winner for us already this year and he put in an epic performance at the USPGA. However, he should still be 100/1 this week so 50/1 does not appeal. Allenby could go well but is lacking recent form, De Jonge is in good form and a nice price at 125/1 but this is a step up in class from the smaller events he has contended in. Overton has played some great golf this year and he will have his supporters on a course that suits at 70/1. KJ Choi is confusing, after a great start to the year he has messed around with his putting, this is the sort of event he can contend in but at the moment it is hard to predict which KJ will turn up. Ben Crane is so close to getting the call, 125/1 is good value but for some reason I just think this course will not suit him.

Instead, Stricker must get involved this week. he has become an ultra strong all round player. Straight driving combined with awesome wedge play and putting is an age old formula for good golf! 20/1 seems a little short but with Mickelson and Woods opposable, a lot of prices have contracted. Same thing with Mcilroy, but 14/1 joint favourite is too short.

Casey needs to prove himself to Captain Monty this week to earn a pick for the Ryder Cup. (If Monty remains Captain!!) He is fit after injury and should be raring to go. Course is perfect for him and he finished T7 here in 2008. Take the 33/1.

I am tempted to put Sean O'Hair in the staking plan. His incredible long game will take him a long way here. i fear he is not a good enough putter, although he prefers bent grass greens which he has here. His final round when tipped at the WGC event at Firestone was disappointing, his USPGA effort even worse, however 66/1 is a big price about him and a small 'saver' bet has to be recommended.

The Barclays

1.5pts each way Matt Kuchar @ 40/1
2 pts each way Steve Stricker @ 20/1
2 pts each way Paul Casey @ 33/1
0.5 pts each way Sean O'Hair @ 66/1


Running Total = +91.7pts
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