UA-33754892-1 Archives for 21 November 2010 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Dubai World Championship

Last week went as expected. The in form, well fancied, short price favourites all contended. Poulter was the eventual winner but to have a guess at those prices just is not worth it. Soren Kjelsden, my pick, missed the cut. We lost 3pts and to drag our profits down to 209.3 pts for the season.

This week is the final event of the European Tour season, The Dubai World Championship. It is played at the 7600 yard, par 72 Earth Course designed my Greg Norman. It is a long hitters paradise but with plenty of water, deep bunkers and sloping greens to catch the players out.

Westwood, the defending champion, heads the market and has obvious claims. A best price of 7/1 is too short despite his impressive showing in finishing runner up in the HSBC Champions WGC event. It would be no surprise to see him go close again here.

Poulter and Mcdowell are also prominent in the market, both at 14/1. They are both in incredible form and on paper appear each way certainties. However I am not sure this course is ideal for either of them and I am going to pass again. Donald is another in form but is priced accordingly. Mcilroy and Casey have their perfect course here and Mcilroy showed last year he enjoys the course. However, they have shown very little in their last few outings and again, although tempting, I will pass.

I am going with three players who, if they play near their potential, could look very generous prices come Sunday afternoon. Ernie Els has had a good solid year without really firing. For years he has been the second best to Woods and there must be some resentment that despite all his efforts, others have come flying past and challenged for the number one spot now Woods has slumped. He has a chance this week to put this right. He has to beat an extremely strong field including three Major Champions and the world number one but I think he will be up for the challenge in a location and environment he enjoys and plays well in. 25/1 is a very fair price and should be backed each way.

The course should also set up well for Ross Fisher. Having enjoyed a nice break after the HSBC Champions he should be charged up and ready to go. A half decent putting week and 'Fish' could make the 33/1 look generous.

A player who has lost his form a little since the Ryder Cup is Eduardo Mollanari. His brother's win in the HSBC Champions event took him one place above Eduardo in the world rankings and I think this will add even more motivation and desire to an already massively driven Eduardo. When he is firing he can be hugely impressive and a big showing here could cap off a remarkable two seasons for the Italian. I like his chances at 50/1.

One who does look value again now the tour moves back out of Asia is Seung-Yul Noh. There were big expectations of the 19 year old the last few weeks and he has played some good stuff without really contending. He was starting those weeks (one in Singapore with 203 players compared to 60 here) at 33/1 and he is 100/1 here. The field is not drastically different apart from being a lot smaller so to have him at three times the price must represent some value. A small each way value bet on him completes the selections.

Dubai World Championships.

2pts each way Ernie Els @ 25/1
1pt each way Ross Fisher @ 33/1
1.5pts each way Eduardo Mollanari @ 50/1
0.5pts each way Seung-Yul Noh @ 100/1

(running total +209.33......this weeks investment 10 pts)


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