UA-33754892-1 Archives for 21 March 2010 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Open de Andalucia and Arnold Palmer Invitational (Bay Hill)

Another week of no cigar.... Danny Willett recovered from a poor opening round in Morocco to shoot up the leaderboard and into 7th, just one shot out of the places and a profit. In the States, Stricker had a solid week, posting another top 10 without every really threatening to win the tournament. Steve Elkington opened with 2 solid rounds to be in 2nd and into 12/1 from 150/1 but came home in 40 on Saturday and ended near the bottom the leaderboard come Sunday afternoon. A loss of 6pts on the week and a yearly running total of -4.5pts.

This week the European Tour moves to Malaga, Spain for the Open de Andalucia, hosted by Jimenez. He joins a medium strength field at a new venue for the tournament. Young, form players dominate the betting but I am going to chose a more experienced campaigner who is slowly finding some decent form. A player who does well by the sea and on Harry Colt courses (like the old West course at Wentworth). Darren Clarke seems way too big at 50/1. If he can keep patience with his putting he has to be a big player this week.

Clarke can conjure up some old magic with Major incentives.

I think Bay Hill is one of the best courses to watch tournament golf on. With a great mixture of tough and easy holes. The par 5's do offer some chances and there is enough rough to make it difficult. The scoring does not normally go too low (unless Tiger is playing).

Mickelson is favourite. He is a past winner but despite 4 top 25's in his last 4 events has not really got going this year. He leads the birdies on par 5's percentage this season which would be a positive signal here. He can win but I would not chance him at a best price of 12/1. I also like Nick Watney. His play last weekend was incredible and he was no.1 in putting at the Transitions. He also boasts impressive course form but to back a inconsistent player in a strong field at 25/1 does not sound like a good idea. Mcdowell is playing well in the Tavistock Cup, has good course form and should go well at a nice price of 50/1. Allenby, Stricker and Choi are also on the shortlist but I find it hard to see past the impressive Columbian, Camillo Villegas.

Camillo will be lining up another win this week.

Villegas is enjoying his best start to a season so far. He leads scoring average, birdie average, birdies and better on par 4's and went to Uni in Florida. His course form is poor but this course sets up well for him. As he is also 3rd in driving distance and 6th in putting.... any course should suit him at the moment! I think he is the man to beat so take the 25/1.

1.5 pts each way Darren Clarke @ 50/1 Open de Andalucia
2 pts each way Camillo Villegas @ 25/1 Arnold Palmer Invitational

1pt each way double Darren Clarke and Camillo Villegas @ 1325/1