UA-33754892-1 Archives for 20 March 2011 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Andalucia Open and Arnold Palmer Invitational

Nice week last week. Gary Woodland won the Transitions Championship at 100/1 and Chris Couch got placed at 100/1. Unfortunately he finished tied 5th with 6 others. Bill Haas missed the cut. We made a tidy profit of 124.33 points or £1243.33 to a £10 stake. This brings our 2011 profit to 211.83pts for the year or £2118.33 to a £10 stake.

This week is another flat week in Europe, the Andalucia Open at Parador De Malaga in Spain. Quiros is 12/1 market leader but makes little appeal at that price on a course which is only 6800 yards and best described as a tree lined links. This is a course for straight hitters. The par 70 Harry Colt course will suit players like Soren Kjeldsen, Miguel Angel Jiminez and Gregory Bourdy. Jimenez hosts this week’s event and is the course record holder (62). He is a little short at 14/1 on what will be a busy week for him.

Kjelsden at 33/1 looks decent. The Dane does well in Spain and this course looks perfect for him. He does need to find some form but he gets the nod for a small bet. Bourdy is a longer version of Kjelsden and at 50/1 he looks decent value. Geoff Banks offers the stand out 50/1.

I am tempted to throw one in at a bigger price and I like Scott Jamieson’s chances. The Scott played well last week and is a nice price at 150/1. This is the same price as Romain Wattel. Jamie Elson played great last week in Italy and is 125/1. Out the three I am going to go with the Frenchman Wattel. He did well on a similar course earlier in the year, Durban CC in the SA Open and can go well here. With Elson my gut tells me he may not fire two weeks in a row, he is a streaky player and other courses will suit long hitting Jamieson better than this.

Bay Hill hosts the US Tour event this week. Shortlisted are D A Points, G Mac, David Toms, Chris Couch, Brandt Snedeker, Joe Ogilvie and Bill Haas.

DA Points is back out to a fair price after his win earlier this year at Pebble Beach. 125/1 is tempting but he has gone a little cold the last few weeks and this price reflects that. I am going to leave him out. David Toms is due but probably not here, 7400 yards is too long for the veteran to compete on nowadays. Brandt Snedeker is close to playing well. He is 55/1 and I was shocked to see that price considering his season so far. I won’t be backing him at that price. Chris Couch has big claims here. He finished an impressive 5th last week and finished 4th at Bay Hill last year. However we had him at 100/1 last week and bigger other weeks, he is only half that price here.

Graeme Mcdowell finished 2nd here in 2005. This course looks to set up well for him. There is a big emphasis on accurate iron play. He ranks 10th in putting on tour, 11th in birdie average and 4th in the all round. I expect a big week from him here. 18/1 is not a huge price but more than backable.

Bill Haas missed the cut last week. He is a serious player and can bounce back here. The last few weeks 50/1 would have been a big price about him. One bad week and we can back him at that price. He is 10th in total driving, 7th in greens. I forgive him for last weeks missed cut.

Keep an eye on this page or sign up for the email as my final selection is only first alternate to get into the field. If someone drops out and he gets in he should be 300/1+ and we should get a decent run of him. Watch out for Joe Ogilvie if he gets in.

All prices with Geoff Banks Bookmakers - For the best prices and service bet with Geoff Banks - www.geoff-banks.com

Andalucia Open

1 pt each way Soren Kjelsden @ 33/1
1pt each way Gregory Bourdy @ 50/1
0.5pts each way Romain Wattel @ 150/1


Arnold Palmer Invitational

2 pts each way Graeme Mcdowell @ 18/1
1.5 pts each way Bill Haas @ 50/1


2011 running total +211.83pts This weeks investment 12pts


My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.

2010 record +189.33 points.

To get the tips first and receive exclusive in running advice - send an email to jason@jasonkellygolf.com with the subject ‘register’.


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