UA-33754892-1 Archives for 18 November 2012 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

DP World Tour Championship Dubai

Last week was a very boring week after just one round of golfing action. Rory ruined our double with Scott, who won well. Eduardo Molinari shot lots in Japan. Kjelsden never got going until day 4 in Hong Kong. We lost all 5 points invested. The frustrating thing is I expressed my strong interest in Jimenez and Stenson who both won. The prices never look bad when they win, but they were too short in my view. We slide back to 172.86 points of profit for the year.

This week we have one tournament to focus on, the DP World Championships played at the Earth course in Dubai. This is a terrible course. There are deep bunkers randomly scattered everywhere and the 18th is one of the worst holes I have ever played. It suits the bombers but the shorter hitters have a fair record in the event.

It is impossible to dismiss any of the players at the head of the market and hard to fancy anyone at the bigger prices. Past leaderboards prove the cream rises in Dubai.
Mcilroy has an obvious huge chance and will be looking to avenge his MC last week in Hong Kong. He is tempting at 6/1. Donald won well last week in Japan and has form in this event, finishing 3rd last year on -16. Oosthuizen boasts maybe the best recent form in the field, finished 6th here last year and is backable at 11/1. Poulter has finished 1st and 2nd in his last two starts but does not have a great record on the Earth Course. He will have to be on top form on a course which won’t really suit. Westwood and Kaymer I don’t really fancy at 14/1 and 16/1. Rose is a fair price at 20/1 and is good enough to win this sort of event but has not played since 2009 when he finished 50th.

Like I said, apart from
Westwood and Kaymer I could make a very strong case for backing 11 out of the top 13 in the betting. Rory, Donald, Oosthuizen, Poulter, Rose, Peter Hanson, Stenson, Francesco Molinari, Colsaerts and Garcia all seem hard to oppose. But you can’t back them all! The one I am going to be with is Peter Hanson. He has won 2 of his last 4 starts, the KLM Open in Holland and the BMW Masters in China. He finished 4th here last year despite double bogeying the 71st hole. He averages almost 300 yards from the tee on both tours and is putting better this year than any other of his career. I think 22/1 looks like an ok price.

Further down I think
Olesen is worth a little go at 66/1. He finished 19th here last year and can go well. He will be looking to polish of a stellar season here and a good week will see him enter 2013 in the top 50 in the world rankings. The 23 year old Dane appears fearless at times and is an impressive 15th on the money list. Jimenez is tempting at a generous 66/1 after his win last week and has a great record in Dubai but not on this course. He finished 44th here last year 48th in 2010. Therefore I will leave him out and just stick with my two Scandinavians.

DP World Tour Championship

2 pts each way Peter Hanson @ 22/1

1 pt each way Thorbjørn Olesen @ 66/1

2012 running total +172.86 points. This weeks investment 6 points. This week’s P&L = -6pts.

2011 total +370.78 points
2010 total +189.33 points

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My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.