UA-33754892-1 Archives for 18 March 2012 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Bay Hill Invitational

Close again last week. Bo Van Pelt missed out on a playoff by two shots and finished 9th! That’s what you call a bunched leaderboard. John Senden was in touch the whole week before melting on Sunday. Huh never got in the running. We lost all 11 points dragging us back down to -49.87 points for 2012.

This week the PGA Tour gathers in The King’s back yard. 120 of the tour’s best battle it out for the admiration of Mr. Arnold Palmer. Long hitters and accurate iron players are seriously rewarded around Bay Hills tough test. Course experience and a well managed approach count for a lot too. Rookies have pretty much been non-runners here the last few years.

I like Tiger, Van Pelt, Watson, Rose and Huh. There is plenty to like about John Huh but this week with rookies records, recent poor form and a lack of length mean we have to drop him from the staking plan. Rose is the next to go, 16/1 in this field, are you kidding me? Never been the correct price.

So that leaves us with Woods, Watson and Van Pelt. It is impossible not to be with Woods again. 8/1 is a great price about a six time champion who leads total driving and the all round ranking by miles. He also shot 63 at Lake Nona in the Tavistock. He is definitely the one to beat. Seeing he is still 7/1 for the Masters is surprising. I suggest we fill up on that too.

Van Pelt will have conditions to suit here. He is in great form with four straight top 10’s and his stats are equally as good. He ranked number one in putting last week at Copperhead and is third overall on tour. He also ranks fifth in total driving and fourth in the all round. He comes with the added bonus of course form too having made 7 cuts in 7 starts at Bay Hill. 28/1 is more than fair.

I can’t make up my mind with Bubba Watson. He almost landed us the spoils at Doral two weeks ago before taking last week off. His game definitely suits Bay Hill as he proved by being in the second last pairing on Sunday before stumbling to 24th last year. However, he is not really one to rely on and he is half the price he was two weeks ago. Mcilroy, Donald and Mickelson are missing so that goes some way to clarifying the price change but for me 30/1 is just too short. He leads driving distance and greens in regulation so it would be nice to be with him but having scanned all available markets the only two things that offer any value are 35/1 to be first round leader or 6/5 to beat Webb Simpson in a 72 hole matchbet. But there is not enough value for me.

Bay Hill Invitational.

6pts Tiger Woods @ 8/1
2pts each way Bo Van Pelt @ 28/1

Special Bet

4pts Tiger Woods to win the Masters @ 7/1

2012 running total -49.87 points. This weeks investment 14 points
(Already Advised - 6 pts Tiger Woods @ 13/2 US Masters)

2011 total +370.78 points
2010 total +189.33 points

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My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.