UA-33754892-1 Archives for 09 October 2011 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Portugal Masters and The McGladrey Championship

The less said about last week the better. Woods struggled with the putter in the first round last week but that was no excuse really, he looks to be swinging it very strangely and appears not to be able to hit a normal shot. He drove it very poorly all week and as a result of my misguided faith we lost 5 pts supporting him. My other two selections Hunter Haas and Tim Herron never got in the running. Herron missing the cut and Haas finishing way down. The 72 hole match treble was not even close so all in I apologise for a very poor week! Last weeks loss = 12pts. Year long tally = +169.79 or £1697.90 to a £10 stake.

This week we have the Portuguese Masters in Europe and The McGladrey Championship in the States. Kaymer is the 10/1 favourite in Portugal. He is the right favourite in an average field but has not shown any recent form to justify our support. I have played the course, it is open and long. Bombers who can make birdies will do well here. I like Ross Fisher for this but he is not holing enough putts at the moment to compete. He is hardly making any bogies but too few birdies at the same time.

Thomas Aiken showed signs of a return to form last week in Madrid. He is an individual player who hits it long and went confident he can go low. I like him at 33/1. Johan Edfors looks over priced at 80/1 on a course that suits his game. Ross McGowan is a player who needs a big week and like Aiken showed some form last week. 250/1 is a big price and worth an interest.

The PGA Tour sees some form players return to action after breaks. Webb Simpson is favourite at 14/1. It is weird to see him going off favourite as we were backing him earlier this season at comparatively huge prices. He is a fair price but I am not sure Sea Island’s accuracy test is necessarily up his street.

Kuchar is Georgia through and through and lives at Sea Island. He is the highest earning non winner this year and this looks perfect for him. 18/1 is not the biggest price in the world but there is just about enough value in it for me. Another resident who’s game seems to be a perfect fit is Zach Johnson. 25/1 is not a flashy price but again, in this field, is worth taking. David Toms finished tied for third here last year. He has had a solid year and nobody even comes close to rivalling his accuracy tee to green. I like the 25’s. Bo Van Pelt finished 6th here last year carding a pair of 66’s at the weekend. He is 27th in greens in regulation and 8th in total driving. His putting concerns me a little but 33/1 is tempting. I have too many short prices and to put Van Pelt in and he makes the staking plan impossible, I regretfully have to leave him out.

Now to the difficult part. They are all relatively short prices so coming up with the right staking plan is difficult. But here goes......

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Portugal Open

1.5 pts each way Thomas Aiken @ 33/1
1 pt each way Johan Edfors @ 80/1
0.5 pts each way Ross McGowan @ 250/1

The McGladrey Championship

3 pt win Matt Kuchar @ 18/1
1.5 pts each way Zach Johnson @ 25/1
1.5 pts each way David Toms @ 25/1

Special Bets

0.5 pts on Bo Van Pelt to be 1st round leader @ 40/1

2011 running total +169.79 pts This weeks investment 16 pts


To get the tips first and receive exclusive in running advice - send an email to jason@jasonkellygolf.com with the subject ‘register’.

My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.

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