UA-33754892-1 Archives for 09 December 2018 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Alfred Dunhill Championship

Alfred Dunhill Championship - In Running after round 1

0.25 points Oliver Bekker @ 15 (-0.25)
0.25 points Dimitrios Papadatos @ 21 (-0.25)



Alfred Dunhill Championship

Dunhill Championships this week from Leopard Creek in South Africa. I have played in this a couple of times. It’s a fantastic course that overlooks the Kruger National Park. A truly wonderful spot.

The course has new greens but this does not mean one should discount course form. Those who find fairways will find this an easy course, those who miss the generous targets can find all sorts. Those who hit them can take advantage on the par 5s, which is where most the scoring is done. The heat is the main defence, the course and weather should be immaculate as always. There are no excuses at Leopard Creek, ones score is always a true reflection of how one has performed.

South Africans tend to dominate the leaderboards here, but I am going to take a chance on a couple of Spanish rookies at huge prices. Alvaro Quiros won here in 2006 as a rookie from Spain, as did Pablo Martin in 2009 (he defended his title in 2010). 9 of the last 13 winners have been home country boys, one English and the other 3 have gone to Spain. David Borda and Pedro Figueiredo are worth chancing at huge prices. 500/1 and 350/1 respectively. 1000 and 610 on Betfair.

I have also backed them in the top 20 market at 16/1 Borda and 10/1 Figueiredo.

To Win

0.25 points Pedro Figueiredo @ 351 (-0.25)
0.25 points David Borda @ 501 (-0.25)

Top 20

2 points Pedro Figueiredo @ 11 (-2)
1.75 points David Borda @ 17 (-1.75)


72 Hole Matches (Sky Bet - tie no bet)

1 point Victor Perez to beat Langasque @ 1.91 (-1)
1.75 points Louis Oosthuizen to beat Schwartzel @ 1.73 (+1.27)
1.5 points Haydn Porteous to beat Lombard @ 1.67 (-1.5)





This week's P&L = -5.98 points
This week’s investment = 9 points


This week's Outright P&L = -4.25 points
This weeks's Outright Investment = 4.25 points


This week's matches/specials/in running P&L = -1.73 points
This week's matches/specials/in running Investment = 4.75 points



2018 Total P&L =  -95.31 points

2018 Total Investment = 1912.37 points

2018 Outright Bets P&L = 
-21.47 points
2018 Outright Bets Investment = 910.54 points

2018 matches/specials/in running P&L =  -74.14 points
2018 matches/specials/in running investment = 1012.97 points


2018 total -21.47 points
2017 total -37.24 points
2016 total +3.88 points
2015 total -116.28 points
2014 total -103.98 points
2013 total - 24.22 points
2012 total +150.36 points
2011 total +370.78 points

2010 total +189.33 points
8 Year Total +411.16 points

To get the tips first and receive exclusive in running advice - send an email to 
jason@jasonkellygolf.com with the subject ‘register'

I rate my picks as 0.25 to 2.5 units and I recommend you risk the following:

  • 0.25 units - 0.25% of bankroll
  • 0.5 units - 0.5% of bankroll
  • 0.75 units - 0.75% of bankroll
  • 1 unit - 1% of bankroll
  • 1.5 units - 1.5% of bankroll
  • 2 units - 2% of bankroll
  • 2.5 units - 2.5% of bankroll

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