UA-33754892-1 Archives for 08 March 2020 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

The Players Championship

The Players Championship

I've added one more for this week who is more of a gut pick. TPC Sawgrass favours accurate drivers. It is one of the few courses left on Tour where driving distance, historically, isn't a big factor. Accuracy is more important Hence guys like Webb Simpson, Kuchar, Choi, Tim Clark, Fred Funk, Craig Perks, Justin Leonard have all won here and guys like Dustin Johnson, Tiger, Phil and Rory have such inconsistant records. I appreciate 3 of these 4 have won The Players, but they have as many missed cuts. The course gives short hitters a chance. 7180 yards and you get seriously disadvantaged if missing fairways.
I am going to put Billy Horschel in. The Floridian has been in decent form with 5 top 10s this season with two of these coming in his last 4 (9th in both the WGC Mexico and in Phoenix).
Billy has a best of 13th here in 2015, but he looks a good fit, doesn't fear a big occasion and is trending in the right direction. He looks undervalued in a market dominated by big hitters. I also think Hovland will like the TPC test on debut and looks a fair price at 125/1. Ian Poulter, also 125/1, has a decent record here with a 2nd and a 11th in the last 3 editions. I think Ancer at 80/1 represents decent value and towards the top of the market Fleetwood at 25/1 and Matsuyama at 30/1 may be look the best two options.

To Win
1 unit Billy Horschel @ 90/1 (125/1 on Betfair) (refunded)
Top 5
1 unit Billy Horschel @ 20/1 (refunded)
Top 10
1 unit Billy Horschel @ 9/1 (refunded)
Top 20
1 unit Billy Horschel @ 4/1 (refunded)




The Players Championship


Winner
No bet

Top 5
0.25 units Christiaan Bezuidenhout @ 40/1 (refunded)

Top 10
0.5 units Christiaan Bezuidenhout @ 16/1 (refunded)
0.25 units Vaughn Taylor @ 28/1 (refunded)
0.25 units Andrew Putnam @ 33/1 (refunded)


Top 20
0.75 units Christiaan Bezuidenhout @ 7/1 (refunded)
0.5 units Vaughn Taylor @ 11/1 (refunded)
0.5 units Victor Perez @ 10/1 (refunded)
0.75 units Ian Poulter @ 7/1 (refunded)

1st Round 3 Balls
1 unit Jim Furyk @ 7/2 to bt Snedeker and Fleetwood (+3.5)
0.75 units Ryan Armour @ 3/1 to bt Garnett and Holmes (-0.75)

This week's P&L = +2.75
This week’s investment = 5.5 units
This week's Outright P&L = 0 units
This weeks's Outright Investment = 3.75 units
This week's matches/specials/in running P&L = +2.75 units
This week's matches/specials/in running Investment = 1.75 units


2020 Total P&L = +9.38 units

2020 Total Investment = 103.75 units
2020 Total ROI = 9.04%
2020 Outright Bets P&L = +0.88 units
2020 Outright Bets Investment = 94.75 units
2020 Outright ROI = 0.93%

2020 matches/specials/in running P&L = +8.5 units
2020 matches/specials/in running investment = 9 units
2020 matches/specials/in running ROI = 94.44%

2019 total +49.47 units
2018 total -21.47 units
2017 total -37.24 units
2016 total +3.88 units
2015 total -116.28 units
2014 total -103.98 units
2013 total - 24.22 units
2012 total +150.36 units
2011 total +370.78 units
2010 total +189.33 units

9 Year Total +460.63 units

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I rate my picks in units and I recommend you risk the following:

  • • • 0.25 units - 0.25% of bankroll
  • • • 0.5 units - 0.5% of bankroll
  • • • 0.75 units - 0.75% of bankroll
  • • • 1 unit - 1% of bankroll
  • • • 1.25 units - 1.25% of bankroll
  • • • 1.5 units - 1.5% of bankroll
  • • • 1.75 units - 1.75% of bankroll
  • • • 2 units - 2% of bankroll
  • • • ETC.

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