UA-33754892-1 Archives for 05 January 2014 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Sony Open and Volvo Golf Champions

On a flight in a few hours to go back to Spain for ten weeks. Research done, but no write up, just the picks.

In the Volvo Champions there is nothing I really fancy. Schwartzel will be very hard to beat but is too short at 7/2 in a strong line up. Manassero is another who looks way too short considering he is first time out with Callway. From what I understand, unlike Harris English, he has switched to the ball too. It will be interesting to see how he adjusts/copes with the switch. At bigger prices Harrington appeals the most at 55/1, but many of these players are coming back from extended breaks and will use this to warm up for the Middle East swing. Therefore I’m not a player in this tricky market.

In Hawaii I like four players. There is always a lot of hype about course form and accuracy at this venue. However, one of the horses for courses is Charles Howell III, and he is far from accurate from the tee. The key here is par 4 performance. Last year Russell Henley won on this par 70, on bermuda greens. He was an all time tour best of -17 on the par 4s.

I like Chucky three sticks for this. He, like I said has ridiculous course form, but many winners of this have shown no course form prior to winning. The reason I like CHIII is because his short game stats are phenomenal and he does not have to hit driver so much on this tight course. However, the hype about his course form has made him way too short to back at 20/1, in what is a stronger field than normal.

The other who has a huge amount of appeal is Zach Johnson. His wedges were incredible last week around a course he had poor form on and really did not suit. He was very nearly the selection over Webb Simpson, but alas we had to settle for a place. Zach is maybe the hottest player in the world right now and, if he is not feeling the effects of last week too much, could go back to back. At 11/1 there are worse bets but it is a little too short for me.

I am going to back Hideki Matsuyama at 35/1 and Justin Hicks at 100/1 (125/1 with some smaller firms.) Matsuyama is class and should have no problems with the grain on the greens. 35/1 is big for a player with his professional record. Justin Hicks ranks 3rd in driving accuracy and 2nd in greens in regulation. He finished 15th here last year and 6th last time out. Looks a player to have on side this week at a big price.

Sony Open

1.5 points each way Hideki Matsuyama @ 35/1 (Withdrew before the start of play)
0.75 points each way Justin Hicks @ 100/1 (125/1 in a few places) (-1.5 points)

2014 running total = +0.5 points. This week’s investment 4.5 points. This weeks P&L = -1.5 points

2013 total - 24.22 points
2012 total +150.36 points
2011 total +370.78 points
2010 total +189.33 points

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