UA-33754892-1 Archives for 04 September 2011 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

KLM Open

Miguel Angel Jimenez was quietly impressive last week. He had one double and one bogey. He did not drop a shot in his last 41 holes. He just did not hole enough putts but was very solid. He finished 9th. Soren Kjelsden was the opposite. He is normally so consistent but rounds of 69, 67, 68 and a costly 73 left him 32nd. In the States there was a bit more excitement. Kuchar had a typically solid week, finishing 25th. Toms had a shocking last day, shooting 76 to finish 59th. Mahan made a charge and got in the mix on the final day. 5 under thru 7 got him in contention but he bogied 8 and doubled 10. 3 birdies coming in gave him an anticlimactic 66 and a share of 8th.

Webb Simpson saved the day. After missing out on his win two weeks ago it felt good to get with him this week. He shot a stunning 65 on the final day including an outward 9 of 30. He holed from 27ft on the 18th to get in a playoff. He holed from 15ft to stay alive in the playoff and made a solid 10ft putt to win on the second extra hole. Birdie, birdie, birdie to win. It was fun to watch!

His 33/1 win gave us a nice profit for the week. He won us 61.88 points but we lost 13 points elsewhere. We won 48.88 points on the week leaving us +206.04 points up for the season or £2060.40 to a £10 stake.

This week is very quiet. No event in the States and a difficult one in Europe. The KLM Open is dominated by three players. Kaymer, Mcilroy and Westwood. They all played great last week and all had good chances to win. They rightly dominate the betting at 15/2, 8/1 and 8/1 respectively. How do you split them?

Well, the course is short at 6907 yards and tight. The greens at Hilversumsche course are small and normally pretty firm but the recent rain will have changed that a little. It rewards straight drivers who can avoid the heather and accurate iron players. Still hard to separate them but I would lean towards Westwood as his long game is outstanding.

Ok, I am going to pick Westwood. He is due a win and looked very good last week. That should have given him the taste for it The only negative is he has not played this event since 2002 and most of the field would have played this course last year, when Kaymer won. Therefore why would I not be with Kaymer? Well, if I have to stake relatively big I want someone who I know is going to give me a good run and Westwood is far more consistent.

Looking for value elsewhere is tricky. I am going to put Robert Dinwiddie, Christian Cevaer and Gregory Bourdy in there. This course is similar to courses they have done well on in the past and are all tasty prices. 300/1, 250/1 and 100/1 respectively.

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KLM Open

4 points win Lee Westwood @ 8/1
1 pt each way Gregory Bourdy @ 100/1
0.5 pts each way Christian Cevaer @ 250/1
0.5 pts each way Robert Dinwiddie @ 300/1

2011 running total +206.04 pts This weeks investment 8 pts


My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.

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