UA-33754892-1 Archives for 04 April 2010 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

US Masters

Last week Matt Kuchar missed out on a place by a shot, Hunter Mahan missed the cut, 6 points lost to take this years tally to -19.5 points.

Kuchar's 'shot too many' would be hard to get over if it wasn't Masters week. It is without question the best week of the year to be a golf fan. For me it is signifies the start of decent golf conditions in the UK, the 'real' start to the season. The Masters is spectacular and beautiful and has a history and tradition like no other. I would rather win The Open but the Masters is definitely the best to watch.

What makes a Masters Champion? Experience is a key factor and a number of players in form do not have this at Augusta. Recent course set ups at Augusta have rewarded ball strikers, especially those that hit it straight. A few years ago it was a long hitters course but that has changed a little now. So a patient, experienced ball striker who hits it straight and high, preferably right to left, has pin point iron play, can putt like God and has a lot of imagination with his short game. A proper test!!

So who is going to win? I think the most likely is Woods. Obviously a lot has happened but he can never be underestimated. He is still number 1 in the world. He is fully fit and he can deal with the situation despite the added emotion and pressure. He can control himself like no other. People have been quick to write him off this week but do not forget we are talking about Tiger Woods, winner of 86 tournaments world wide, he may not be match fit but he would not be playing if he did not believe he was ready. Woods fits the bill, he has to prove himself to the world again this week and what better way of doing it. 4 green jackets gives him the experience. He does not need to be at his best to win.

Others I like are the on fire Els. I was surprised to see him play last week and a T44 suggest a week off could have been a better option. For this reason and his short price he is passed over. Casey looks the best of the British challengers. He pulled out with an injury last week and although I expect him to be the best European (11/2), I can not recommend backing him knowing his preparation may not have been complete. Singh can win if he putts well, but again a bad back has hampered his preparations. Mickelson finished like a train last week. 6 birdies in a row on the back 9 but he is too inconsistent at the moment to be worth chancing at a short price. Goosen, Choi and Stricker were also considerations but their form this season means their prices have contracted as a result.

Matt Kuchar has 4 top 10's in 9 starts this year, top 20 in 8 of his last 11. He has not played Augusta since 2002 but who can forget his performance as an amateur here in 1998 when finishing 21st. So he knows a little about being near the top of the Masters leader board. At 90/1 he is a good price.

Dustin Johnson has the perfect game for Augusta, he lacks experience but he is the 3rd longest on tour and is a great putter. He does not fear winning either, he and Tiger are the only 2 players to win every year in their first 3 years on tour. He will be a tip for the first three majors of the year. At 66/1 he is a bet.

Ben Crane has had a solid year. He plays tough courses well, putts great on fast, slopey greens and won the Farmers Insurance Open in January. He is a huge price at 300/1 and can go well. A generous 16/1 is on offer for Crane to finish in the top 10, snap this up as well.

Another at a massive price is David Duval. He has contended at Augusta a number of times, should have won in '98. He showed what he is still capable of at the US Open last year and also at Pebble Beach earlier this year, finishing 2nd in the AT&T. He can go well at a tasty 400/1.

The young Italian Matteo Manassero introduced himself to the golfing world last year when winning the British Amateur in great style before making a charge on Sunday at the Open. I think he is a great price in two markets. The three man field of top teenager (5/2) and top debutant (25/1).

Tim Clark has a good record at Augusta, his pin point iron play is rewarded here and he takes less risks than most so avoids the big numbers. At 125/1 he is tempting in the outright market but take him to be top South African at 9/1.

Two specials I like are 11/4 about there being a hole in 1 on the 16th. A hole in 1 anywhere is 10/11. The 4th, 6th and 12th are all 33/1 to see an ace so 11/4 about the most likely 16th appears good value. It also gives a great interest for Sunday if the other recommendations go the wrong way!!! Woods is 1/2 to par the 1st hole on Thursday. The 1st is a tough hole, especially when nervous and under pressure. 11/4 about a bogey or worse seems to be the way to go.

On Wednesday I will post some matchbet tips if any stand out.

So thats the 2010 Masters..... I can't wait.

5 pts win Tiger Woods @ 5/1 Outright
1 pt ew Matt Kuchar @ 90/1 Outright
1 pt ew Dustin Johnson @ 66/1 Outright
0.5 pts ew David Duval @ 400/1 Outright
0.5 pts ew Ben Crane @ 300/1 Outright

1 pt Ben Crane @ 16/1 To finish top 10
2 pts Matteo Manassero @ 5/2 Top Teenager
1 pt ew Matteo Manassero @ 25/1 Top Debutant
1 pt ew Tim Clark @ 9/1 Top South African
1 pt Hole in 1 on 16 @ 11/4
1 pt Woods to make bogey or worse at first @ 11/4