UA-33754892-1 Archives for 03 July 2011 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

Scottish Open and John Deere Classic

Nick Watney was a winner last week. 14/1 is not exactly inspirational tipping but a win is a win and it is nice to show profit again. Webb Simpson would have made it a whole lot sweeter if he had hung on for a place after a good start on Sunday. We won 18 points on the week and got back to +133.8 points in profit.

This week looks tricky. In the States it is the John Deere which once again will be a shoot out. Goydos shot 59 last year and Stricker shot a 60 and a 62 to defend his title. In Europe the Scottish Open is on a new course and the weather forecast makes it look like a tough one to predict.

The four players I like to play well at TPC Deere Run in the John Deere are Stricker, Jason Day, Toms and Couch. Stricker is an obvious favourite. He has all the right credentials. The course demands accurate driving and deadly putting on undulating greens. He also averages 4.53 birdies per round, 6.625 at Deere run. He is right to be fav and 7/1 is a fair price but too short for me. 7/1 about Striker makes the 10/1 about Day look very short. If it was a choice Striker would get the nod.

Toms lead the greens in regulation at the Travellers Championship. He also hit the most fairways that week. He is 18th in birdie average and looks set for a big week. 25/1 is good price for an in form player.

Couch was awful last week. He withdrew after 9 holes of his second round. I had my doubts putting him in on a tough course but this looks much more up his street. His recent poor form means he is going off at nice prices. I am going to give him one more chance at 125/1. He is 19th in par breakers, 6th in total driving and 21st in birdie average. He plays easy courses well and hopefully will bounce back from his first missed cut of the year.

Scotland is a tough one. There are some quality players at the top of the field. However I am not interested in them as Castle Stuart is a new venue and the forecast is for strong winds and rain. I am going to have a play on Rose though. His game seems to coming right after a quiet start to the year. He is 3rd in greens in regulation on the US Tour this year and was making some very positive statements about his game last week. Not many people have a record to match his on links courses either, especially as an amateur. 30/1 is a fair price.

After scouting through some of the bigger price players the one I think represents the best value is Llyod Saltman. The young Scott has loads of ability and this should be perfect for him. 200/1 makes him worth a punt. I wanted to find a bad weather player to back. Peter Whiteford is amongst the best I know but the compilers have earned their pounds by noticing that too. 80/1 is skinny. Stephen Gallacher played solid last week and I wanted to go with him again but I have no idea how he is only 100/1 this week. Last week in France when up against very little he was 150/1, this field is much, much stronger.

All prices with Geoff Banks Bookmakers - For the best service and prices bet with Geoff Banks - www.geoff-banks.com

Scottish Open

1.5 points each way Justin Rose @ 30/1
0.5 pts each way Llyod Saltman @ 200/1


John Deere Classic

2 pts each way David Toms @ 25/1
0.5 pts each way Chris Couch @ 125/1


2011 running total +133.8 pts This weeks investment 9 pts


My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.


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