UA-33754892-1 Archives for 01 July 2012 | Jason Kelly Golf

Jason Kelly Golf

Golf Betting Tips

French Open and The Greenbrier Classic

Close with Bo Van Pelt last week, a bad 2nd shot at 16 when the door was wide open really let Tiger in and nobody can afford to do that. I was gutted I did not pick Jamie Donaldson in Ireland. I said to my roomie last week that I fancied Donaldson after he shot 62 at Sunningdale to qualify for The Open. He obviously had found something and would be hugely confident entering the event. I have to admit, in all fairness, I completely forgot about him when making the picks… sorry! Still we won 6.63 points on the week to raise our running total to +151.73 or £1517.30 to a £10 stake.

On to this week and limited time again as I have another event in Belgium. The French Open at Paris National has thrown up some funny winners over the last few years. For me it is very difficult to look past Westwood (13/2) and Rose (16/1). They are too short for me to back on a course like this in a field with depth. I am going to make a small play on Nicolas Colsaerts. 40/1 looks overly generous for a player in form on a course which is fairly lenient from the tee.

In the States a strong field has turned out for the Greenbrier but I am really finding it hard to find one to fancy. Woods will probably win. He made 5 bogies on route to winning at Congressional. Two of those were seriously clumsy. Finding each way value against the 7/2 fav is difficult though as the prices around him have been sucked in. For example Keegan Bradley was 35/1 to win in Ireland last week where he missed the cut. He has missed 5 out of 8 cuts and is 40/1 here, in this field. I obviously rate Bradley highly but that is a terrible price.

I liked the idea of the consistent and impressive Seung-Yul Noh but again was shocked to see just 45/1 about him. This made me check to see if they were betting 6 or 7 places but they are not. Not sure what is going on but the only value I can find in the field is Pat Perez at 66/1. The Old White TPC is a long game test. Perez ranks 29th in total driving, 44th in greens and 14th in birdies. He has shown flashes of brilliance all year without finishing it off but half of his 16 starts have resulted in top 25’s. With Perez it is a question of what mood he is in and he will inevitably spit it at some point. But, in his one start at The Old White he finished 9th so is worth a small interest.

Thats all for this week, would not be surprised to see Westwood and Woods win and not much value elsewhere. I would have recommended an ante post play on Ross Fisher for The Open but all the fancy prices have gone and 80/1 is the best left which is about right.

French Open

1.5 pts each way Nicolas Colsaerts @ 40/1

The Greenbrier Classic

1 pt each way Pat Perez @ 66/1


2012 running total +151.73 points. This weeks investment 5 points

2011 total +370.78 points
2010 total +189.33 points

To get the tips first and receive exclusive in running advice - send an email to jason@jasonkellygolf.com with the subject ‘register'

My advice comes with a point system to rate the strength of a tip. A 1 point bet means placing your usual stake, so if you would consider your normal bet being £10 then a point signifies £10.

Twitter: @jasonkellygolf

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